Mediation Tip: Do your risk math in writing before you show up.
Feb 09, 2026
Too many lawyers walk into mediation with a gut feeling about their case. That's not enough. You need a clean, defensible decision tree — in writing — before you sit down at the table.
๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ'๐ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐น๐ฐ๐๐น๐ฎ๐๐ฒ:
→ ๐๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ / ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ / ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ ๐ผ๐๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐. What's the range if this goes to verdict? Be honest with yourself. Your client needs to understand all three scenarios.
→ ๐๐ถ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ × ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐บ๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ๐ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ × ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐ฒ๐ ๐ฝ๐ผ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ. This is the real math. Include CCP § 998 dynamics where relevant — the fee-shifting risk changes the calculus significantly.
→ ๐๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ถ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐. What's your summary judgment risk? Are there admissibility problems with key exhibits or testimony? How do comparatives affect the numbers?
→ ๐ฆ๐ผ๐น๐๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ. Is there actually money to collect? What are the policy limits? A big verdict means nothing if you can't collect it.
๐ช๐ต๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐:
When you've done this work ahead of time, you negotiate differently. You're not reacting emotionally to the other side's demands or offers. You're not making decisions based on adrenaline.
You know your real range. You can explain it to your client. And you can respond to movement at the table with calm authority.
I've mediated hundreds of cases. The lawyers who come in prepared with this kind of analysis settle more cases — and get better results for their clients.
When you need a mediator who understands the math, I'm at ADR Services, Inc.
#Mediation #CivilLitigation #ADR
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Monty McIntyre helps attorneys and their clients throughout California as a mediator, arbitrator and referee at ADR Services, Inc. He handle business, commercial, employment, insurance (bad faith, coverage, UIM), probate, real property, and tort cases. He has been a California civil trial lawyer since 1980, a member of ABOTA since 1995, has tried over 100 cases and he's represented both plaintiffs and defendants in the areas listed above. To schedule a new matter, please contact one of Monty's case managers at ADR services, Inc.:
Haward Cho, haward@adrservices.com, or
Rachael Boughan, rboughan@adrservices.com, (619) 233-1323.
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Do well and be well.
Best regards,
Monty A. McIntyre, Esq.
Mediator, Arbitrator & Referee at ADR Services, Inc.
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